Player breakdown
Joe Royer
Cincinnati · 2026 Draft Class
6-5247 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~23
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $359K
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
29%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 2022 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 2023 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| 2024 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 12 | 48 | 507 | 2 | 10.6 | 42.2 |
| 2025 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 12 | 28 | 389 | 3 | 13.9 | 32.4 |
| Career | 27 | 79 | 911 | 5 | 11.5 | 33.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
29%
ML model output
Context Prob
29%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.256
-53.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.184
Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output+0.176
Top Negative Factors
Positive production trend (+95) — improving trajectory-0.702
42.2 ypg as a freshman — solid first-year impact-0.413
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.403