Predicting the Pros
Predictions/John FitzPatrick
John FitzPatrick

Player breakdown

John FitzPatrick

Georgia · 2022 Draft Class

6th round, 213th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~26
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

25%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2023ATL9011121201.3
2024GNB90112200.2
2025GNB154151272614.8
Career3341714866.112.6
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2019GeorgiaSEC112202222
2020GeorgiaSEC56540910.8
2021GeorgiaSEC6683013.813.8
Career1213159012.213.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

25%

ML model output

Context Prob

25%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Efficiency consistency: 1.80 — highly consistent across seasons+0.266
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.03 — variable output+0.245
YPG ranked at 6th percentile in draft class — average relative to peers+0.198

Top Negative Factors

110 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.422
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.392
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.389

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)