Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jonnu Smith
Jonnu Smith

Player breakdown

Jonnu Smith

Florida International · 2017 Draft Class

6-3248 lbs3rd round, 100th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~31
Elite700+ Receiving
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

80%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2017TEN161330181578.729.8
2018TEN1312302025812.9319.8
2019TEN1614443543912.5327.4
2020TEN1514654144810.9829.9
2021NWE1611452829410.5118.4
2022NWE14838272459.1017.5
2023ATL176705058211.6334.2
2024MIA1761118888410852
2025PIT17754382225.8213.1
Career141914873453,52910.23025.0
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2013Florida InternationalConference USA23938829.9194
2014Florida InternationalConference USA104549751149.7
2015Florida InternationalConference USA83639541149.4
2016Florida InternationalConference USA114250641246
Career311621,7861511.057.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

80%

ML model output

Context Prob

80%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

127" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.630
194.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.297
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.02 — variable output+0.264

Top Negative Factors

337 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.388
Class YPR rank: top 83% — average per-target efficiency-0.312
Reception rate trend-0.266

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)