Player breakdown
Jordan Reed
Florida · 2013 Draft Class
6-2236 lbs3rd round, 85th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~36
High700+ Receiving
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
74%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | WAS | 9 | 4 | 59 | 45 | 499 | 11.1 | 3 | 55.4 |
| 2014 | WAS | 11 | 2 | 65 | 50 | 465 | 9.3 | 0 | 42.3 |
| 2015 | WAS | 14 | 8 | 114 | 87 | 952 | 10.9 | 11 | 68 |
| 2016 | WAS | 12 | 8 | 89 | 66 | 686 | 10.4 | 6 | 57.2 |
| 2017 | WAS | 6 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 211 | 7.8 | 2 | 35.2 |
| 2018 | WAS | 13 | 8 | 84 | 54 | 558 | 10.3 | 2 | 42.9 |
| 2020 | SFO | 10 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 231 | 8.9 | 4 | 23.1 |
| Career | 75 | 36 | 492 | 355 | 3,602 | 10.1 | 28 | 48.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Florida | SEC | 5 | 6 | 79 | 1 | 13.2 | 15.8 |
| 2011 | Florida | SEC | 2 | 28 | 307 | 2 | 11 | 153.5 |
| 2012 | Florida | SEC | 0 | 45 | 559 | 3 | 12.4 | 0 |
| Career | 7 | 79 | 945 | 6 | 12.0 | 135.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
74%
ML model output
Context Prob
74%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
745 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.557
2.37 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.433
Strong ascending production slope (+240 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.346
Top Negative Factors
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.402
Class YPR rank: top 75% — average per-target efficiency-0.331
Reception rate trend-0.315