Player breakdown
Jordan Thomas
Mississippi St. · 2018 Draft Class
6-5265 lbs6th round, 211th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~30
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
22%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | HOU | 16 | 10 | 27 | 20 | 215 | 10.8 | 4 | 13.4 |
| 2019 | HOU | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1.6 |
| 2020 | 2TM | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.5 |
| 2020 | ARI | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.8 |
| 2020 | NWE | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 33 | 12 | 34 | 23 | 229 | 10.0 | 6 | 6.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6 | 9 | 48 | 0 | 5.3 | 8 |
| 2017 | Mississippi State | SEC | 9 | 18 | 193 | 0 | 10.7 | 21.4 |
| Career | 15 | 27 | 241 | 0 | 8.9 | 16.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
22%
ML model output
Context Prob
22%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
111" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.603
Reception rate trend+0.251
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.232
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+145 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.544
257 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.505
0.73 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.427