Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Josh Whyle
Josh Whyle

Player breakdown

Josh Whyle

Cincinnati · 2023 Draft Class

6-7248 lbs5th round, 147th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~26
HighAll-Conference x1Missed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

58%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2023TEN1131599410.418.5
2024TEN17437282488.9114.6
2025GNB8165367.214.5
Career36858423789.0310.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2019CincinnatiAmerican Athletic2251025.525.5
2020CincinnatiAmerican Athletic823271011.833.9
2021CincinnatiAmerican Athletic1125320012.829.1
2022CincinnatiAmerican Athletic102928809.928.8
Career3179930011.830.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

19%

ML model output

Context Prob

19%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

115" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.585
Reception rate trend+0.264
Efficiency consistency: 2.17 — highly consistent across seasons+0.241

Top Negative Factors

Positive production trend (+79) — improving trajectory-0.690
106 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.526
1.29 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.445

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)