Player breakdown
Josiah Deguara
Cincinnati · 2020 Draft Class
6-2242 lbs3rd round, 94th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~29
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
36%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | GNB | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 6 |
| 2021 | GNB | 16 | 2 | 33 | 25 | 245 | 9.8 | 2 | 15.3 |
| 2022 | GNB | 17 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 114 | 8.8 | 0 | 6.7 |
| 2023 | GNB | 15 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 65 | 8.1 | 0 | 4.3 |
| 2024 | JAX | 15 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 4.7 | 0 | 0.9 |
| 2025 | ARI | 12 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 1.8 |
| Career | 77 | 12 | 66 | 53 | 471 | 8.9 | 3 | 6.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 3 | 4 | 47 | 0 | 11.8 | 15.7 |
| 2017 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 5 | 11 | 98 | 0 | 8.9 | 19.6 |
| 2018 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 11 | 33 | 431 | 3 | 13.1 | 39.2 |
| 2019 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 12 | 35 | 476 | 6 | 13.6 | 39.7 |
| Career | 31 | 83 | 1,052 | 9 | 12.7 | 33.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
36%
ML model output
Context Prob
36%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
115" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.596
Reception rate trend+0.278
Speed × production: 46.4 — average combined athletic output+0.191
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+143 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.553
158 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.530
15.7 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.319