Player breakdown
Kaden Smith
Stanford · 2019 Draft Class
6-5255 lbs6th round, 176th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~29
MediumMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
54%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | NYG | 9 | 6 | 42 | 31 | 268 | 8.6 | 3 | 29.8 |
| 2020 | NYG | 15 | 12 | 21 | 18 | 112 | 6.2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| 2021 | NYG | 9 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 11 | 0 | 3.7 |
| Career | 33 | 22 | 66 | 52 | 413 | 7.9 | 3 | 12.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 10 | 20 | 356 | 0 | 17.8 | 35.6 |
| 2018 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 9 | 47 | 635 | 0 | 13.5 | 70.6 |
| Career | 19 | 67 | 991 | 0 | 14.8 | 52.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
54%
ML model output
Context Prob
54%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
108" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.586
2.49 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.374
Reception rate trend+0.253
Top Negative Factors
Speed × production: 55.3 — average combined athletic output-0.356
35.6 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.308
BMI 30.2 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (255 lbs)-0.235