Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kahale Warring
Kahale Warring

Player breakdown

Kahale Warring

San Diego St. · 2019 Draft Class

6-5252 lbs3rd round, 86th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~29
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

21%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2020HOU70733511.705
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2016San Diego StateMountain West115055
2017San Diego StateMountain West819259013.632.4
2018San Diego StateMountain West93137201241.3
Career1851636012.535.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

21%

ML model output

Context Prob

21%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

122" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.588
Reception rate trend+0.273
Speed × production: 39.4 — average combined athletic output+0.188

Top Negative Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+183 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.501
322 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.493
1.48 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.451

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)