Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Keith Zinger
Keith Zinger

Player breakdown

Keith Zinger

LSU · 2008 Draft Class

7th round, 232nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~41
MediumMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

46%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2009ATL152100000
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2004LSUSEC0223011.50
2005LSUSEC17104114.9104
2007LSUSEC0233016.50
Career111160114.5160.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

46%

ML model output

Context Prob

46%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Class YPR rank: top 7% — elite per-target efficiency+0.389
Best season: 104.0 ypg — elite 100+ ypg per-game ceiling+0.244
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.02 — variable output+0.241

Top Negative Factors

138 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.427
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.388
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.386

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)