Player breakdown
Kellen Davis
Michigan St. · 2008 Draft Class
6-6262 lbs5th round, 158th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~40
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
12%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | CHI | 16 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 75 | 8.3 | 3 | 4.7 |
| 2010 | CHI | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 19 | 1 | 1.2 |
| 2011 | CHI | 16 | 15 | 35 | 18 | 206 | 11.4 | 5 | 12.9 |
| 2012 | CHI | 16 | 15 | 44 | 19 | 229 | 12.1 | 2 | 14.3 |
| 2013 | SEA | 15 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 10.7 | 1 | 2.1 |
| 2014 | DET | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2015 | NYJ | 16 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 1.1 |
| 2016 | NYJ | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 109 | 55 | 114 | 53 | 579 | 10.9 | 13 | 5.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 0 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 29 | 0 |
| 2005 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3 | 15 | 122 | 2 | 8.1 | 40.7 |
| 2006 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 1 | 12 | 125 | 1 | 10.4 | 125 |
| 2007 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4 | 28 | 475 | 5 | 17 | 118.8 |
| Career | 8 | 56 | 751 | 8 | 13.4 | 93.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
12%
ML model output
Context Prob
12%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
118" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.514
Class YPR rank: top 27% — strong per-target efficiency+0.343
Efficiency consistency: 2.16 — highly consistent across seasons+0.244
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+148 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.591
1.81 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.446
Speed × production: 56.1 — average combined athletic output-0.355