Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ko Kieft
Ko Kieft

Player breakdown

Ko Kieft

Minnesota · 2022 Draft Class

6-4230 lbs6th round, 218th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~28
HighMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

62%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2022TAM17121078011.414.7
2023TAM166512210.1
Career33181588210.322.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2017MinnesotaBig Ten221708.58.5
2018MinnesotaBig Ten111901919
2020MinnesotaBig Ten111501515
2021MinnesotaBig Ten569011518
Career910141114.115.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

62%

ML model output

Context Prob

62%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Class YPR rank: top 18% — elite per-target efficiency+0.384
Reception rate trend+0.268
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.03 — variable output+0.258

Top Negative Factors

120 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.419
0.39 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.389
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.374

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)