Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kyle Rudolph
Kyle Rudolph

Player breakdown

Kyle Rudolph

Notre Dame · 2011 Draft Class

6-6259 lbs2nd round, 43rd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~36
High700+ Receiving
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

75%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2011MIN15839262499.6316.6
2012MIN161693534939.3930.8
2013MIN88463031310.4339.1
2014MIN9834242319.6225.7
2015MIN1616734949510.1530.9
2016MIN16161328384010.1752.5
2017MIN161681575329.3833.3
2018MIN161682646349.9439.6
2019MIN161648393679.4622.9
2020MIN1212372833411.9127.8
2021NYG161339262579.9116.1
2022TAM9053289.313.1
Career1651457094824,7739.95028.9
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2008Notre DameFBS Independents225262210.5131
2009Notre DameFBS Independents333364311121.3
2010Notre DameFBS Independents328328311.7109.3
Career886954811.1119.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

75%

ML model output

Context Prob

75%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

131.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.353
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.02 — variable output+0.272
119 yards per TD — big-play production pattern+0.226

Top Negative Factors

121 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.416
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.405
1.41 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.369

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)