Player breakdown
Kylen Granson
SMU · 2021 Draft Class
4th round, 127th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~28
HighAll-Conference x1Missed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
58%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | IND | 17 | 0 | 15 | 11 | 106 | 9.6 | 0 | 6.2 |
| 2022 | IND | 13 | 4 | 40 | 31 | 302 | 9.7 | 0 | 23.2 |
| 2023 | IND | 15 | 7 | 50 | 30 | 368 | 12.3 | 1 | 24.5 |
| 2024 | IND | 17 | 6 | 31 | 14 | 182 | 13 | 0 | 10.7 |
| 2025 | PHI | 17 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 5.7 | 0 | 2.4 |
| Career | 79 | 20 | 145 | 93 | 998 | 10.7 | 1 | 12.6 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Rice | Conference USA | 7 | 32 | 362 | 0 | 11.3 | 51.7 |
| 2017 | Rice | Conference USA | 6 | 18 | 241 | 0 | 13.4 | 40.2 |
| 2019 | SMU | American Athletic | 11 | 35 | 618 | 0 | 17.7 | 56.2 |
| 2020 | SMU | American Athletic | 10 | 35 | 536 | 0 | 15.3 | 53.6 |
| Career | 34 | 120 | 1,757 | 0 | 14.6 | 51.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
19%
ML model output
Context Prob
19%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Class YPR rank: top 10% — elite per-target efficiency+0.401
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.02 — variable output+0.245
Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output+0.183
Top Negative Factors
Positive production trend (+58) — improving trajectory-0.681
206 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.512
56.2 ypg as a freshman — solid first-year impact-0.425