Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Lance Kendricks
Lance Kendricks

Player breakdown

Lance Kendricks

Wisconsin · 2011 Draft Class

6-3243 lbs2nd round, 47th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~38
EliteAll-American x1Missed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

85%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2012STL1614644251912.4432.4
2014STL161438272599.6516.2
2015STL151236252459.8216.3
2016LAR1616875049910231.2
2017GNB169351820311.3112.7
2018GNB16325191708.9110.6
2019LAC121735016.704.2
Career107692921841,94510.61518.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2008WisconsinBig Ten06141023.50
2009WisconsinBig Ten329356312.3118.7
2010WisconsinBig Ten539627516.1125.4
Career8741,124815.2140.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

85%

ML model output

Context Prob

85%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

836 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.628
122" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.592
2.58 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.392

Top Negative Factors

Speed × production: 65.2 — strong combined athletic output-0.380
Reception rate trend-0.297
BMI 30.4 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (243 lbs)-0.249

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)