Player breakdown
Lee Smith
Marshall · 2011 Draft Class
6-6266 lbs5th round, 159th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~38
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
9%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | BUF | 10 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 2.8 | 0 | 1.1 |
| 2013 | BUF | 16 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 78 | 15.6 | 0 | 4.9 |
| 2014 | BUF | 14 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 2015 | OAK | 15 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 70 | 5.8 | 1 | 4.7 |
| 2016 | OAK | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 4.8 | 0 | 7.3 |
| 2017 | OAK | 16 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 76 | 9.5 | 0 | 4.8 |
| 2018 | OAK | 16 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 73 | 7.3 | 3 | 4.6 |
| 2020 | BUF | 10 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 35 | 8.8 | 2 | 3.5 |
| 2021 | ATL | 16 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 65 | 7.2 | 1 | 4.1 |
| Career | 117 | 67 | 79 | 65 | 479 | 7.4 | 8 | 4.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 4.5 | 0 |
| 2008 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 0 | 12 | 89 | 0 | 7.4 | 0 |
| 2009 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 0 | 23 | 335 | 0 | 14.6 | 0 |
| 2010 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 0 | 38 | 358 | 3 | 9.4 | 0 |
| Career | 0 | 75 | 791 | 3 | 10.5 | 0.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
9%
ML model output
Context Prob
9%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
108" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.608
YPG ranked at 0th percentile in draft class — average relative to peers+0.185
Speed × production: 32.0 — average combined athletic output+0.183
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+116 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.620
238 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.523
1.35 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.443