Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Leonard Pope
Leonard Pope

Player breakdown

Leonard Pope

Georgia · 2006 Draft Class

6-8258 lbs3rd round, 72nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~42
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

37%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2006ARI166231616110.1010.1
2007ARI1311342323810.3518.3
2008ARI138139778.605.9
2009KAN13830201748.7113.4
2010KAN1661910767.624.8
2011KAN1610342424710.3115.4
2012PIT162439320.6
Career103511571059829.4119.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2004GeorgiaSEC52241761983.4
2005GeorgiaSEC333491314.9163.7
Career855908916.5113.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

37%

ML model output

Context Prob

37%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

118" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.543
Class YPR rank: top 7% — elite per-target efficiency+0.348
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.02 — variable output+0.257

Top Negative Factors

Positive production trend (+74) — improving trajectory-0.712
83.4 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact-0.428
Speed × production: 55.6 — average combined athletic output-0.383

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)