Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Levine Toilolo
Levine Toilolo

Player breakdown

Levine Toilolo

Stanford · 2013 Draft Class

6-8260 lbs4th round, 133rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~35
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

36%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2013ATL163151155523.4
2014ATL161654312387.7214.9
2015ATL1615127446.302.8
2016ATL1611191326420.3216.5
2017ATL1512141212210.218.1
2018DET1610242126312.5116.4
2019SFO1302210500.8
2020NYG16265469.202.9
Career124691461021,04210.288.4
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2010StanfordACC01270270
2011StanfordACC524325613.565
2012StanfordACC424393416.498.2
Career9497451015.282.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

36%

ML model output

Context Prob

36%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

113" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.517
Class YPR rank: top 6% — elite per-target efficiency+0.360
Efficiency consistency: 1.78 — highly consistent across seasons+0.248

Top Negative Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+183 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.514
1.51 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.450
471 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.362

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)