Player breakdown
Luke Farrell
Ohio St. · 2021 Draft Class
6-5251 lbs5th round, 145th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~28
HighMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
57%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | JAX | 15 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 56 | 8 | 0 | 3.7 |
| 2022 | JAX | 17 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 2.4 |
| 2023 | JAX | 17 | 8 | 15 | 13 | 155 | 11.9 | 0 | 9.1 |
| 2024 | JAX | 17 | 8 | 17 | 12 | 67 | 5.6 | 0 | 3.9 |
| 2025 | SFO | 17 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 85 | 7.7 | 2 | 5 |
| Career | 83 | 24 | 61 | 47 | 403 | 8.6 | 2 | 4.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 9.5 | 9.5 |
| 2018 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8 | 19 | 196 | 1 | 10.3 | 24.5 |
| 2019 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5 | 6 | 108 | 2 | 18 | 21.6 |
| 2020 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 3 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 8.7 | 8.7 |
| Career | 18 | 30 | 349 | 3 | 11.6 | 19.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
57%
ML model output
Context Prob
57%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
118" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.591
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.256
Positive production trend (+2) — improving trajectory+0.195
Top Negative Factors
261 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.421
0.78 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.386
9.5 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.332