Player breakdown
Luke Lachey
Iowa · 2025 Draft Class
6-6251 lbs7th round, 255th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~25
MediumMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $511K
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
41%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5 | 6 | 106 | 0 | 17.7 | 21.2 |
| 2022 | Iowa | Big Ten | 10 | 26 | 350 | 0 | 13.5 | 35 |
| 2023 | Iowa | Big Ten | 2 | 9 | 128 | 0 | 14.2 | 64 |
| 2024 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8 | 21 | 160 | 0 | 7.6 | 20 |
| Career | 25 | 62 | 744 | 0 | 12.0 | 29.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
41%
ML model output
Context Prob
41%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
120" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.603
Reception rate trend+0.272
Efficiency consistency: 1.47 — highly consistent across seasons+0.241
Top Negative Factors
1.39 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.372
Class YPR rank: top 50% — average per-target efficiency-0.326
21.2 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.289