Player breakdown
Malcolm Johnson
Mississippi St. · 2015 Draft Class
6-0149 lbs6th round, 195th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~34
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
10%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | CLE | 7 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 44 | 8.8 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Mississippi State | SEC | 0 | 10 | 169 | 3 | 16.9 | 0 |
| 2012 | Mississippi State | SEC | 1 | 10 | 171 | 2 | 17.1 | 171 |
| 2013 | Mississippi State | SEC | 1 | 29 | 378 | 1 | 13 | 378 |
| 2014 | Mississippi State | SEC | 11 | 25 | 358 | 3 | 14.3 | 32.5 |
| Career | 13 | 74 | 1,076 | 9 | 14.5 | 82.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
10%
ML model output
Context Prob
10%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Class YPR rank: top 27% — strong per-target efficiency+0.386
169.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.248
Efficiency consistency: 1.16 — highly consistent across seasons+0.244
Top Negative Factors
Positive production trend (+63) — improving trajectory-0.740
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.405
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.378