Player breakdown
Marcedes Lewis
UCLA · 2006 Draft Class
6-6261 lbs1st round, 28th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~42
EliteJohn Mackey x1All-American x1700+ Receiving
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
92%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | JAX | 15 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 126 | 9.7 | 1 | 8.4 |
| 2007 | JAX | 16 | 16 | 57 | 37 | 391 | 10.6 | 2 | 24.4 |
| 2008 | JAX | 16 | 16 | 74 | 41 | 489 | 11.9 | 2 | 30.6 |
| 2009 | JAX | 15 | 15 | 59 | 32 | 518 | 16.2 | 2 | 34.5 |
| 2010 | JAX | 16 | 16 | 89 | 58 | 700 | 12.1 | 10 | 43.8 |
| 2011 | JAX | 15 | 15 | 85 | 39 | 460 | 11.8 | 0 | 30.7 |
| 2012 | JAX | 16 | 15 | 77 | 52 | 540 | 10.4 | 4 | 33.8 |
| 2013 | JAX | 11 | 11 | 47 | 25 | 359 | 14.4 | 4 | 32.6 |
| 2014 | JAX | 8 | 8 | 31 | 18 | 206 | 11.4 | 2 | 25.8 |
| 2015 | JAX | 16 | 16 | 37 | 16 | 226 | 14.1 | 0 | 14.1 |
| 2016 | JAX | 10 | 10 | 30 | 20 | 169 | 8.5 | 1 | 16.9 |
| 2017 | JAX | 16 | 16 | 48 | 24 | 318 | 13.3 | 5 | 19.9 |
| 2018 | GNB | 16 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 13 | 0 | 2.4 |
| 2019 | GNB | 16 | 11 | 19 | 15 | 156 | 10.4 | 1 | 9.8 |
| 2020 | GNB | 15 | 15 | 17 | 10 | 107 | 10.7 | 3 | 7.1 |
| 2021 | GNB | 17 | 17 | 28 | 23 | 214 | 9.3 | 0 | 12.6 |
| 2022 | GNB | 17 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 66 | 11 | 2 | 3.9 |
| 2023 | CHI | 17 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 7.3 | 1 | 1.7 |
| 2024 | CHI | 17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Career | 285 | 229 | 737 | 437 | 5,115 | 11.7 | 40 | 17.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | UCLA | Big Ten | 5 | 30 | 361 | 7 | 12 | 72.2 |
| 2005 | UCLA | Big Ten | 6 | 58 | 741 | 10 | 12.8 | 123.5 |
| Career | 11 | 88 | 1,102 | 17 | 12.5 | 100.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
92%
ML model output
Context Prob
92%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
988 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.632
118" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.564
2.84 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.376
Top Negative Factors
72.2 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact-0.465
Speed × production: 72.9 — strong combined athletic output-0.322
Class YPR rank: top 47% — average per-target efficiency-0.315