Player breakdown
Mark Andrews
Oklahoma · 2018 Draft Class
6-6230 lbs3rd round, 86th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~31
EliteJohn Mackey x1All-American x1700+ Receiving
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
86%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | BAL | 16 | 3 | 50 | 34 | 552 | 16.2 | 3 | 34.5 |
| 2019 | BAL | 15 | 4 | 98 | 64 | 852 | 13.3 | 10 | 56.8 |
| 2020 | BAL | 14 | 2 | 88 | 58 | 701 | 12.1 | 7 | 50.1 |
| 2021 | BAL | 17 | 9 | 153 | 107 | 1,361 | 12.7 | 9 | 80.1 |
| 2022 | BAL | 15 | 15 | 113 | 73 | 847 | 11.6 | 5 | 56.5 |
| 2023 | BAL | 10 | 9 | 61 | 45 | 544 | 12.1 | 6 | 54.4 |
| 2024 | BAL | 17 | 13 | 69 | 55 | 673 | 12.2 | 11 | 39.6 |
| 2025 | BAL | 17 | 11 | 70 | 48 | 422 | 8.8 | 5 | 24.8 |
| Career | 121 | 66 | 702 | 484 | 5,952 | 12.3 | 56 | 49.2 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6 | 13 | 150 | 0 | 11.5 | 25 |
| 2016 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 11 | 27 | 416 | 0 | 15.4 | 37.8 |
| 2017 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 13 | 56 | 895 | 0 | 16 | 68.8 |
| Career | 30 | 96 | 1,461 | 0 | 15.2 | 48.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
86%
ML model output
Context Prob
86%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1,074 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.647
3.89 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.426
Class YPR rank: top 8% — elite per-target efficiency+0.384
Top Negative Factors
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.354
25.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.290
BMI 26.6 — ideal frame for NFL WR (230 lbs)-0.244