Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Martin Rucker
Martin Rucker

Player breakdown

Martin Rucker

Missouri · 2008 Draft Class

6-5251 lbs4th round, 111th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~41
EliteAll-American x1Missed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

78%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2008CLE5162178.503.4
2011JAX10100000
Career6172178.502.8
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2004MissouriSEC319263413.887.7
2005MissouriSEC142484111.5484
2006MissouriSEC54744459.488.8
2007MissouriSEC881815810.1101.9
Career171892,0061810.6118.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

25%

ML model output

Context Prob

25%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1,086 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.613
3.25 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.355
Reception rate trend+0.244

Top Negative Factors

87.7 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact-0.401
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.401
Strong ascending production slope (+184 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.399

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)