Player breakdown
Matt Sherry
Villanova · 2008 Draft Class
6th round, 207th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~41
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
13%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | Villanova | CAA | 2 | 25 | 275 | 3 | 11 | 137.5 |
| 2006 | Villanova | CAA | 2 | 19 | 249 | 1 | 13.1 | 124.5 |
| 2007 | Villanova | CAA | 0 | 37 | 461 | 5 | 12.5 | 0 |
| Career | 4 | 81 | 985 | 9 | 12.2 | 246.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
13%
ML model output
Context Prob
13%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
137.5 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.239
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.223
Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output+0.172
Top Negative Factors
Positive production trend (+93) — improving trajectory-0.730
153 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.521
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.420