Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Maxx Williams
Maxx Williams

Player breakdown

Maxx Williams

Minnesota · 2015 Draft Class

6-4249 lbs2nd round, 55th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~32
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

33%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2015BAL14748322688.4119.1
2017BAL1181815865.717.8
2018BAL13617161438.9111
2019ARI1610191520213.5112.6
2020ARI9810810212.8111.3
2021ARI55171619312.1138.6
2022ARI1113318601.6
Career79451321051,0129.6612.8
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2013MinnesotaBig Ten020341417.10
2014MinnesotaBig Ten1126455117.541.4
Career1146796517.372.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

33%

ML model output

Context Prob

33%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

117" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.623
Class YPR rank: top 0% — elite per-target efficiency+0.350
341.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.297

Top Negative Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+114 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.731
1.83 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.351
Reception rate trend-0.310

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)