Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Michael Egnew
Michael Egnew

Player breakdown

Michael Egnew

Missouri · 2012 Draft Class

6-5252 lbs3rd round, 78th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~36
EliteAll-American x1Missed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

78%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2013MIA165117699.904.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2008MissouriSEC042205.50
2009MissouriSEC032508.30
2010MissouriSEC38369848.4232.7
2011MissouriSEC347484310.3161.3
Career61371,22979.0204.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

29%

ML model output

Context Prob

29%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

930 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.627
131" broad jump — elite lower-body explosion+0.589
2.77 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.369

Top Negative Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+154 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.471
22.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.341
Reception rate trend-0.316

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)