Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Michael Hoomanawanui
Michael Hoomanawanui

Player breakdown

Michael Hoomanawanui

Illinois · 2010 Draft Class

6-4264 lbs5th round, 132nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~38
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

11%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2010STL83221314611.2318.3
2012NWE1467510921.807.8
2013NWE1310191213611.3110.5
2014NWE1612634414.702.8
2015NOR1281611766.936.3
2017NOR1410106528.713.7
Career7749805056311.387.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2007IllinoisBig Ten0564212.80
2008IllinoisBig Ten025312212.50
2009IllinoisBig Ten010114011.40
Career040490412.30.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

11%

ML model output

Context Prob

11%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Speed × production: 31.8 — average combined athletic output+0.180
YPG ranked at 0th percentile in draft class — average relative to peers+0.176
Catch radius: 0.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.141

Top Negative Factors

64.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact-0.462
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.417
416 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.406

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)