Player breakdown
Michael Mayer
Notre Dame · 2023 Draft Class
6-5249 lbs2nd round, 35th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~25
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
38%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | LVR | 14 | 12 | 40 | 27 | 304 | 11.3 | 2 | 21.7 |
| 2024 | LVR | 11 | 8 | 32 | 21 | 156 | 7.4 | 0 | 14.2 |
| 2025 | LVR | 13 | 12 | 50 | 35 | 328 | 9.4 | 1 | 25.2 |
| Career | 38 | 32 | 122 | 83 | 788 | 9.5 | 3 | 20.7 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10 | 29 | 323 | 0 | 11.1 | 32.3 |
| 2021 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 11 | 61 | 740 | 0 | 12.1 | 67.3 |
| 2022 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 12 | 61 | 687 | 4 | 11.3 | 57.2 |
| Career | 33 | 151 | 1,750 | 4 | 11.6 | 53.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
38%
ML model output
Context Prob
38%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
118" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.603
2.97 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Reception rate trend+0.250
Top Negative Factors
246 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.520
Strong ascending production slope (+182 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.460
32.3 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.320