Player breakdown
Michael Trigg
Baylor · 2026 Draft Class
6-4240 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~23
High
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
58%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | USC | Pac-12 | 3 | 6 | 102 | 0 | 17 | 34 |
| 2022 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6 | 15 | 144 | 0 | 9.6 | 24 |
| 2023 | Ole Miss | SEC | 2 | 4 | 65 | 1 | 16.2 | 32.5 |
| 2024 | Baylor | Big 12 | 9 | 29 | 390 | 0 | 13.4 | 43.3 |
| 2025 | Baylor | Big 12 | 11 | 47 | 672 | 0 | 14.3 | 61.1 |
| Career | 31 | 101 | 1,373 | 1 | 13.6 | 44.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
58%
ML model output
Context Prob
58%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
806 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.612
2.80 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.401
Class YPR rank: top 16% — elite per-target efficiency+0.398
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+142 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.458
43.3 ypg as a freshman — solid first-year impact-0.421
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.372