Player breakdown
Michael Williams
Alabama · 2013 Draft Class
6-0150 lbs7th round, 211th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~35
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
7%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | NWE | 15 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | 0 | 1.7 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | Alabama | SEC | 0 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 9.7 | 0 |
| 2010 | Alabama | SEC | 0 | 7 | 97 | 1 | 13.9 | 0 |
| 2011 | Alabama | SEC | 0 | 14 | 181 | 2 | 12.9 | 0 |
| 2012 | Alabama | SEC | 3 | 24 | 183 | 4 | 7.6 | 61 |
| Career | 3 | 48 | 490 | 7 | 10.2 | 163.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
7%
ML model output
Context Prob
7%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.228
2.33 TDs/game — dominant red-zone role in college+0.172
9.7 YPR in first season — average freshman efficiency+0.152
Top Negative Factors
Positive production trend (+51) — improving trajectory-0.710
244 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.523
1.22 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.456