Player breakdown
Mitchell Evans
Notre Dame · 2025 Draft Class
6-5258 lbs5th round, 163rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~23
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
22%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | CAR | 17 | 10 | 25 | 19 | 171 | 9 | 2 | 10.1 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 2 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 10.5 | 10.5 |
| 2023 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7 | 28 | 417 | 0 | 14.9 | 59.6 |
| 2024 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10 | 29 | 272 | 3 | 9.4 | 27.2 |
| Career | 19 | 59 | 710 | 3 | 12.0 | 37.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
22%
ML model output
Context Prob
22%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
115" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.595
Reception rate trend+0.278
Speed × production: 42.6 — average combined athletic output+0.188
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+125 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.563
139 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.526
1.62 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.445