Player breakdown
Moliki Matavao
UCLA · 2025 Draft Class
6-6260 lbs7th round, 248th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~23
MediumMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $511K
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
53%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | NOR | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1.7 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 8 | 9 | 75 | 0 | 8.3 | 9.4 |
| 2022 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 7 | 10 | 134 | 0 | 13.4 | 19.1 |
| 2023 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 7 | 10 | 220 | 0 | 22 | 31.4 |
| 2024 | UCLA | Big Ten | 11 | 42 | 539 | 0 | 12.8 | 49 |
| Career | 33 | 71 | 968 | 0 | 13.6 | 29.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
53%
ML model output
Context Prob
53%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
114" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.568
Class YPR rank: top 6% — elite per-target efficiency+0.358
Reception rate trend+0.263
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+154 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.550
31.4 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.320
610 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.255