Player breakdown
Mychal Rivera
Tennessee · 2013 Draft Class
6-3242 lbs6th round, 184th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~35
EliteMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
77%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | OAK | 16 | 3 | 60 | 38 | 407 | 10.7 | 4 | 25.4 |
| 2014 | OAK | 16 | 10 | 99 | 58 | 534 | 9.2 | 4 | 33.4 |
| 2015 | OAK | 16 | 0 | 46 | 32 | 280 | 8.8 | 1 | 17.5 |
| 2016 | OAK | 13 | 2 | 25 | 18 | 192 | 10.7 | 1 | 14.8 |
| Career | 61 | 15 | 230 | 146 | 1,413 | 9.7 | 10 | 23.2 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Tennessee | SEC | 0 | 10 | 97 | 0 | 9.7 | 0 |
| 2011 | Tennessee | SEC | 1 | 29 | 344 | 1 | 11.9 | 344 |
| 2012 | Tennessee | SEC | 0 | 36 | 562 | 5 | 15.6 | 0 |
| Career | 1 | 75 | 1,003 | 6 | 13.4 | 1003.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
77%
ML model output
Context Prob
77%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
112" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.600
749 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.562
2.32 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.353
Top Negative Factors
Reception rate trend-0.327
Best season: 344.0 ypg — elite 100+ ypg per-game ceiling-0.256
344.0 volume-adjusted ypg — elite output relative to team pass rate-0.251