Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Nick Kasa
Nick Kasa

Player breakdown

Nick Kasa

Colorado · 2013 Draft Class

6-6269 lbs6th round, 172nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~35
HighMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

64%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2013OAK161519910.6
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2011ColoradoBig 12018080
2012ColoradoBig 12325391315.6130.3
Career326399315.3133.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

64%

ML model output

Context Prob

64%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

113" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.546
Class YPR rank: top 0% — elite per-target efficiency+0.336
Best season: 130.3 ypg — elite 100+ ypg per-game ceiling+0.253

Top Negative Factors

1.45 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.459
469 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.374
8.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.338

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)