Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Nick Muse
Nick Muse

Player breakdown

Nick Muse

South Carolina · 2022 Draft Class

7th round, 227th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~27
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

19%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2023MIN20112222011
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2018William & MaryCAA149202392
2019Charleston SouthernBig South118088
2019South CarolinaSEC71513208.818.9
2020South CarolinaSEC930425114.247.2
2021South CarolinaSEC1119218111.519.8
Career2969875212.730.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

19%

ML model output

Context Prob

19%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

8.8 YPR in first season — average freshman efficiency+0.169
Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output+0.162
Catch radius: 0.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.144

Top Negative Factors

Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.402
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.378
Class YPR rank: top 53% — average per-target efficiency-0.343

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)