Player breakdown
Noah Fant
Iowa · 2019 Draft Class
6-4249 lbs1st round, 20th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~28
MediumMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
48%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | DEN | 16 | 11 | 66 | 40 | 562 | 14.1 | 3 | 35.1 |
| 2020 | DEN | 15 | 14 | 93 | 62 | 673 | 10.9 | 3 | 44.9 |
| 2021 | DEN | 16 | 16 | 90 | 68 | 670 | 9.9 | 4 | 41.9 |
| 2022 | SEA | 17 | 16 | 63 | 50 | 486 | 9.7 | 4 | 28.6 |
| 2023 | SEA | 17 | 17 | 43 | 32 | 414 | 12.9 | 0 | 24.4 |
| 2024 | SEA | 14 | 9 | 64 | 48 | 500 | 10.4 | 1 | 35.7 |
| 2025 | CIN | 15 | 7 | 41 | 34 | 288 | 8.5 | 3 | 19.2 |
| Career | 110 | 90 | 460 | 334 | 3,593 | 10.8 | 18 | 32.7 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6 | 9 | 70 | 0 | 7.8 | 11.7 |
| 2017 | Iowa | Big Ten | 11 | 25 | 435 | 7 | 17.4 | 39.5 |
| 2018 | Iowa | Big Ten | 12 | 38 | 490 | 6 | 12.9 | 40.8 |
| Career | 29 | 72 | 995 | 13 | 13.8 | 34.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
48%
ML model output
Context Prob
48%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
127" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.532
Reception rate trend+0.255
-56.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.174
Top Negative Factors
Speed × production: 59.5 — average combined athletic output-0.369
11.7 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.343
Class YPR rank: top 50% — average per-target efficiency-0.301