Player breakdown
O.J. Howard
Alabama · 2017 Draft Class
6-6251 lbs1st round, 19th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~31
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
36%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | TAM | 14 | 14 | 39 | 26 | 432 | 16.6 | 6 | 30.9 |
| 2018 | TAM | 10 | 8 | 48 | 34 | 565 | 16.6 | 5 | 56.5 |
| 2019 | TAM | 14 | 14 | 53 | 34 | 459 | 13.5 | 1 | 32.8 |
| 2020 | TAM | 4 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 146 | 13.3 | 2 | 36.5 |
| 2021 | TAM | 17 | 9 | 21 | 14 | 135 | 9.6 | 1 | 7.9 |
| 2022 | HOU | 13 | 10 | 23 | 10 | 145 | 14.5 | 2 | 11.2 |
| Career | 72 | 56 | 203 | 129 | 1,882 | 14.6 | 17 | 26.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | Alabama | SEC | 2 | 14 | 269 | 2 | 19.2 | 134.5 |
| 2014 | Alabama | SEC | 8 | 15 | 246 | 0 | 16.4 | 30.8 |
| 2015 | Alabama | SEC | 10 | 30 | 335 | 0 | 11.2 | 33.5 |
| 2016 | Alabama | SEC | 13 | 37 | 446 | 2 | 12.1 | 34.3 |
| Career | 33 | 96 | 1,296 | 4 | 13.5 | 39.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
36%
ML model output
Context Prob
36%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
121" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.643
134.5 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.369
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.264
Top Negative Factors
Positive production trend (+59) — improving trajectory-0.721
1.78 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.416
Class YPR rank: top 42% — average per-target efficiency-0.286