Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Owen Daniels
Owen Daniels

Player breakdown

Owen Daniels

Wisconsin · 2006 Draft Class

6-3253 lbs4th round, 98th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~43
Elite700+ Receiving
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

87%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2006HOU1412513435210.4525.1
2007HOU1616946376812.2348
2008HOU16161017086212.3253.9
2009HOU88584051913564.9
2010HOU1110683847112.4242.8
2011HOU1515855467712.5345.1
2012HOU15141046271611.5647.7
2013HOU55412425210.5350.4
2014BAL1513794852711435.1
2015DEN1616774651711.2332.3
Career1311257584795,66111.83643.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2004WisconsinBig Ten223348215.1174
2005WisconsinBig Ten019222311.70
Career242570513.6285.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

87%

ML model output

Context Prob

87%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

114" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.576
Class YPR rank: top 27% — strong per-target efficiency+0.350
174.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.315

Top Negative Factors

1.38 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.320
Reception rate trend-0.298
464 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.258

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)