Player breakdown
Pat Freiermuth
Penn St. · 2021 Draft Class
6-5251 lbs2nd round, 55th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~27
HighAll-Conference x1700+ Receiving
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
58%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | PIT | 16 | 9 | 79 | 60 | 497 | 8.3 | 7 | 31.1 |
| 2022 | PIT | 16 | 8 | 98 | 63 | 732 | 11.6 | 2 | 45.8 |
| 2023 | PIT | 12 | 9 | 47 | 32 | 308 | 9.6 | 2 | 25.7 |
| 2024 | PIT | 17 | 11 | 78 | 65 | 653 | 10 | 7 | 38.4 |
| 2025 | PIT | 17 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 486 | 11.9 | 4 | 28.6 |
| Career | 78 | 45 | 356 | 261 | 2,676 | 10.3 | 22 | 34.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Penn State | Big Ten | 11 | 22 | 323 | 0 | 14.7 | 29.4 |
| 2019 | Indiana | Big Ten | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 17 |
| 2019 | Penn State | Big Ten | 12 | 40 | 451 | 0 | 11.3 | 37.6 |
| 2020 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4 | 23 | 310 | 0 | 13.5 | 77.5 |
| Career | 28 | 86 | 1,101 | 0 | 12.8 | 39.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
28%
ML model output
Context Prob
28%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Reception rate trend+0.272
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.252
Efficiency consistency: 1.15 — highly consistent across seasons+0.219
Top Negative Factors
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.408
1.80 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.371
Class YPR rank: top 50% — average per-target efficiency-0.342