Player breakdown
Payne Durham
Purdue · 2023 Draft Class
6-6253 lbs5th round, 171st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~26
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
15%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | TAM | 13 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 58 | 11.6 | 0 | 4.5 |
| 2024 | TAM | 16 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 115 | 10.5 | 2 | 7.2 |
| 2025 | TAM | 17 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Career | 46 | 18 | 25 | 17 | 184 | 10.8 | 2 | 4.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7 | 9 | 82 | 0 | 9.1 | 11.7 |
| 2020 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6 | 15 | 160 | 0 | 10.7 | 26.7 |
| 2021 | Purdue | Big Ten | 9 | 40 | 382 | 0 | 9.6 | 42.4 |
| 2022 | Purdue | Big Ten | 12 | 46 | 450 | 0 | 9.8 | 37.5 |
| Career | 34 | 110 | 1,074 | 0 | 9.8 | 31.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
15%
ML model output
Context Prob
15%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
117" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.591
Reception rate trend+0.282
Speed × production: 40.5 — average combined athletic output+0.188
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+122 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.588
1.78 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.427
11.7 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.321