Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Richard Gordon
Richard Gordon

Player breakdown

Richard Gordon

Miami (FL) · 2011 Draft Class

6th round, 181st overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~39
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

28%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2011OAK141112200.1
2012OAK1317294.510.7
2013KAN20113301.5
2014KAN21100000
Career313104143.510.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2007MiamiACC018080
2008MiamiACC0324080
2010MiamiACC052605.20
Career095806.40.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

28%

ML model output

Context Prob

28%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Efficiency consistency: 1.24 — highly consistent across seasons+0.265
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.10 — variable output+0.245
YPG ranked at 0th percentile in draft class — average relative to peers+0.203

Top Negative Factors

31 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.424
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.388
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.383

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)