Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Richard Quinn
Richard Quinn

Player breakdown

Richard Quinn

North Carolina · 2009 Draft Class

6-4264 lbs2nd round, 64th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~40
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

12%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2009DEN150100000
2010DEN144219900.6
Career2943199.000.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2007North CarolinaACC042716.80
2008North CarolinaACC0792113.10
Career011119210.80.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

12%

ML model output

Context Prob

12%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

119" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.563
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.02 — variable output+0.258
YPG ranked at 0th percentile in draft class — average relative to peers+0.185

Top Negative Factors

Positive production trend (+65) — improving trajectory-0.654
110 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.518
0.35 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.431

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)