Predicting the Pros
Predictions/R.J. Maryland
R.J. Maryland

Player breakdown

R.J. Maryland

SMU · 2026 Draft Class

6-4236 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
EliteAll-Conference x1
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

89%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2022SMUAmerican Athletic1124276011.525.1
2023SMUAmerican Athletic1133513015.546.6
2024SMUACC723331314.447.3
2025SMUACC1227322211.926.8
Career411071,442513.535.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

86%

ML model output

Context Prob

86%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

122" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.575
Class YPR rank: top 19% — elite per-target efficiency+0.362
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.250

Top Negative Factors

171 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.423
Speed × production: 58.5 — average combined athletic output-0.379
25.1 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.330

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)