Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Rob Housler
Rob Housler

Player breakdown

Rob Housler

Florida Atlantic · 2011 Draft Class

6-5248 lbs3rd round, 69th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~38
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

26%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2011ARI122261213311.1011.1
2012ARI15968454179.3027.8
2013ARI1310573945411.6134.9
2014ARI15717912914.308.6
20152TM10074338.303.3
2015CLE60416601
2015CHI403327906.8
Career75281821131,19910.6116.0
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2006Florida AtlanticAmerican Athletic0216080
2007Florida AtlanticAmerican Athletic1564012.864
2008Florida AtlanticAmerican Athletic429492417123
2010Florida AtlanticAmerican Athletic339629416.1209.7
Career8751,201816.0150.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

26%

ML model output

Context Prob

26%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

117" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.545
2.54 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.382
Class YPR rank: top 8% — elite per-target efficiency+0.335

Top Negative Factors

209 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.552
16.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.330
Reception rate trend-0.310

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)