Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Rohan Jones
Rohan Jones

Player breakdown

Rohan Jones

Arkansas · 2026 Draft Class

Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

8%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2024Montana StateBig Sky1226405015.633.8
2025ArkansasSEC917483028.453.7
Career2143888020.742.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

8%

ML model output

Context Prob

8%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Class YPR rank: top 0% — elite per-target efficiency+0.393
Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output+0.182
Catch radius: 0.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.157

Top Negative Factors

Positive production trend (+78) — improving trajectory-0.746
53.7 ypg as a freshman — solid first-year impact-0.433
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.425

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)