Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ryan Griffin
Ryan Griffin

Player breakdown

Ryan Griffin

Connecticut · 2013 Draft Class

6th round, 201st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~36
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

5%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2013HOU158281924412.8116.3
2014HOU1621610919.115.7
2015HOU94342025112.6227.9
2016HOU16574504428.8227.6
2017HOU76261315812.2122.6
2018HOU1411432430512.7021.8
2019NYJ131341343209.4524.6
2020NYJ156129869.605.7
2021NYJ141242272619.7218.6
2022CHI15084266.501.7
Career134673242102,18410.41416.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2009ConnecticutFBS Independents023272011.80
2010ConnecticutFBS Independents12719717.3197
2011ConnecticutFBS Independents433499315.1124.8
2012ConnecticutFBS Independents629484616.780.7
Career111121,4521013.0132.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

5%

ML model output

Context Prob

5%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

272.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.240
Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output+0.173
Catch radius: 0.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.152

Top Negative Factors

Positive production trend (+70) — improving trajectory-0.695
166 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.521
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.428

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)