Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ryan Izzo
Ryan Izzo

Player breakdown

Ryan Izzo

Florida St. · 2018 Draft Class

6-5256 lbs7th round, 250th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~30
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

27%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2019NWE649611419119
2020NWE1212201319915.3016.6
Career1816291931316.5117.4
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2014Florida StateACC117077
2015Florida StateACC812175014.621.9
2016Florida StateACC1018225012.522.5
2017Florida StateACC813243218.730.4
Career2744650214.824.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

27%

ML model output

Context Prob

27%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

110" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.594
Reception rate trend+0.256
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.234

Top Negative Factors

Positive production trend (+78) — improving trajectory-0.668
291 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.480
0.95 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.445

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)