Player breakdown
Sam LaPorta
Iowa · 2023 Draft Class
6-3245 lbs2nd round, 34th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~25
HighAll-Conference x1700+ Receiving
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
58%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | DET | 17 | 14 | 120 | 86 | 889 | 10.3 | 10 | 52.3 |
| 2024 | DET | 16 | 16 | 83 | 60 | 726 | 12.1 | 7 | 45.4 |
| 2025 | DET | 9 | 9 | 49 | 40 | 489 | 12.2 | 3 | 54.3 |
| Career | 42 | 39 | 252 | 186 | 2,104 | 11.3 | 20 | 50.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5 | 9 | 144 | 0 | 16 | 28.8 |
| 2020 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8 | 27 | 271 | 0 | 10 | 33.9 |
| 2021 | Iowa | Big Ten | 12 | 46 | 573 | 0 | 12.5 | 47.8 |
| 2022 | Iowa | Big Ten | 11 | 52 | 635 | 0 | 12.2 | 57.7 |
| Career | 36 | 134 | 1,623 | 0 | 12.1 | 45.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
50%
ML model output
Context Prob
50%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
846 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.614
123" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.588
2.59 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.373
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+163 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.455
28.8 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.328
Speed × production: 70.1 — strong combined athletic output-0.317