Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Sam Roush
Sam Roush

Player breakdown

Sam Roush

Stanford · 2026 Draft Class

6-6267 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

39%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2022StanfordPac-12223401717
2023StanfordPac-12928288010.332
2024StanfordACC114033428.330.4
2025StanfordACC1148535011.148.6
Career331181,191210.136.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

39%

ML model output

Context Prob

39%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

126" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.597
Reception rate trend+0.259
Efficiency consistency: 1.68 — highly consistent across seasons+0.242

Top Negative Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+167 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.534
Speed × production: 58.5 — average combined athletic output-0.368
Class YPR rank: top 81% — average per-target efficiency-0.320

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)